Now that Yankees slugger Aaron Judge has hit 60 home runs, it seems very likely that he will set the American League single-season homer record in the next few days. He is just one away from tying Roger Maris’ 61 and one away from owning the record. Then all predictions and projections and arm-twisting can stop. He will have done it. This will be it. Wait. Maybe, just maybe, there’s something else. Dare to dream? Dare we??!!? The Yankees are 15 games into the season. Barry Bonds’ single-season home run record is 73. Aaron Judge has 60 home runs. The odds here are incredibly slim, but, well, you know the line. Judge certainly has a better than one-in-a-million chance of eventually making a run and catching Bonds. Judge has 11 multi-pitch games this season. Two of them came from September 13. Here are some of the most concentrated home runs for him this season:
From April 22 to May 3, he hit eight home runs in 10 games. If we extend that to May 17, Judge has homered 13 times in 21 games. From July 14-30, he hit 12 home runs in 14 games. From Aug. 22-Sept. 7, struck out nine in 14 games.
If he has another run like that in him, it’s going to get really serious. Another 12 in 14 games would take him to 72 with the final game of the season remaining. Wouldn’t that be something? Check the opt-in box to confirm you want to join.
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Judge has actually hit 27 home runs in 54 second half games, which is mathematically one every two games. If he maintains this pace and continues to play every day, he would end up with 67 or 68. Eight home games and seven road games remain on the Yankees schedule. Judge even has 30 homers both at home and on the road, but it may interest fans to know that the Yankees’ two road series come in homer-friendly parks. They play three in Toronto (which ranks third in HR this season among 30 home parks) and four in Texas (which ranks fourth in home run park factor). For now, 60 is pretty cool. Seeing 61 and then 62 will be amazing. But I can’t shake the dream that Judge can make a streak at 73 and/or 74. The odds are slim, but not zero.
