I faded the Titans in Week 1 because they have to fall in some key metrics that are mostly based on luck. They were 6-2 in one-score games last season, but are already 0-1 this year. There is no doubt that the Bills are the best team in the NFL right now. I just think 10 points is a little too much to give up. I project it closer to 8.5. As of Monday morning, 65% of the action has gone into the accounts, but the line has stayed at 10. I think a lot of the sharpest bucks have come in Tennessee. Feels like a line of overreaction in week one, as much as I like the Bills this season. Ed Oliver (ankle) being ruled out is a big blow to Buffalo’s defense, especially against Derrick Henry, and being without Davis is a blow to the offense. Mike Vrabel and the Titans should be able to keep it pretty close after a terrible performance in Week 1. LAST CHANCE: Claim BetMGM $200 Bonus Code Offer! With Davis out, I expect Crowder’s playing time to increase to around 60% of the routes run tonight. Crowder saw a healthy 33% target per route in his Bills debut against the Rams and had a solid average target depth of 6.3. With all that in mind, I project Crowder for 4.2 receptions and to go over that line 62% of the time. FanDuel has Crowder making over 3.5 receptions at +104, as of 6 p.m. ET. Editor’s note, 5:24 p.m. ET: Gabriel Davis will reportedly miss Monday Night Football against the Titans with an ankle injury. Davis appeared on the injury report Saturday due to an ankle injury he reportedly suffered in practice last week. There’s no word on whether he’ll star in it. Still, I like to grab this number now because it will have to match to play this bet. If it is excluded, you get your money back. If Davis is active, it means he’s closer to 100% than we think. I doubt the Bills would risk playing him if he wasn’t, especially in Week 2. Buffalo has enough weapons in the passing game to survive without Davis for a week. If Davis is active tonight, we’ll likely see his bracket move closer to the 54.5-55.5 range. Titans cornerback depth could be an issue with Elijah Molden injured and Kristian Fulton out. I project Davis to be closer to 56.5 assuming he plays. How would you rate this article?
